Blaquweather

02/24/2026

It all. Today here seen, February 24, 2026. Happy Black History Month!

02/24/2026

I believe I called 3-6 around these parts in all the hullabaloo before the models settled on a solution. I do love a good model, but nothing beats having lived through these things and knowing what's typical of extraordinary weather situations. Been doing this since 2009 (hurricanes since Hugo in 1989) and I've only gotten it massively wrong maybe three times because I didn't yet know enough to be cautious. Scroll back, I'm sure it's entertaining. This time of year at this latitude, anytime a storm has to manufacture its own cold to perform you can count on the strength of the late February sun to win out. Sun melts snow on impact during the day, warm ground eats it at night. Feet go to inches go to wet pavement that will be gone by the end of the next day. Do your homework.

✳️ LAST CALL SNOW MAP FOR SNOW MONDAY NE CONUS BLIZZARD ✳️

As I said earlier this is the change I was going to make and I don't see any reason after looking at the Saturday evening data to alter my IDEAS about the LAST CALL forecast map. This clearly remains a battle between the GFS NAM HRR versus the other models.

I have noticed Many others make this similar kind of comparison-- a “battle” between the American models and the European but that is not really accurate. As I pointed out earlier there are a lot of models out there that do NOT have 30 inches of snow in New Jersey. To claim that ONLY the European is showing this is fundamentally dishonest and ignorant. It always tells me anybody making that claim is simply not looking at all the data.

I am not saying that GFS / NAM are wrong because of course the even hasn't started yet.

⚠️ What I am saying is that besides the European which still has a major snowstorm -just not huge massive record setting amounts… we see the same thing with the last several runs of the UKMET… the Canadian….. The ICON the RGEM the RERFS and the RGEM ⚠️

Again it is quite possible that the name GFS NAM HRRR group could be correct. My point is that there is a lot of data out there which doesn't support that kind of extreme snow.

02/24/2026

SEEN. 2010, Snowmageddon DC.

What does 33.5” of snow look like? THIS.

Providence, Rhode Island broke its all-time snowstorm record topping the Blizzard of '78.

(📸: Tom Tally)

02/24/2026

What's funny is up until Snowpocalypse in 2010 the most snow I'd ever seen on the ground happened January 2000 in Raleigh at N.C. State. Legendary bomb cyclone almost killed us all when it dropped 23 inches on the Brickyard when we had been expecting little more than rain.

02/24/2026

I was looking out the back door at the snow with my grandmother and she couldn't see it (she's 90 but still has great vision, that wasn't the issue). I told her I always looked out the front whenever we have big storms at night because you can see the snow falling through the streetlights. She grew up outside Pittsburgh, maybe they didn't have streetlights in 1802 lol.

02/24/2026

JUUUUUUUST missed us. Wow.

02/23/2026

Who is responsible for not telling us (well me at least) about this? Do y’all understand how much BETTER the models would be if they had a regular stream of high quality data collected automatically from our iPhones?

Take it from an IT expert: Every datapoint makes a significant difference.

The NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory is collecting public weather reports through a free app available for smart phones or mobile devices. The app is called 'mPING,' for Meteorological Phenomena Identification Near the Ground.

02/22/2026

02/22/2026

Here we go!