25/09/2026
Arabica prices are falling. Physical stocks are historically low. And Brazil is at the center of that tension.
The incoming Brazilian crop and record export volumes are putting pressure on prices, with Arabica reaching its lowest level in about 10 weeks.
At the same time, certified stocks remain at their lowest levels since 1999.
For roasters, this creates a market worth watching closely. Current price weakness may offer a buying window for fresh crop Brazilian coffees, but low inventories could bring volatility back if supply concerns resurface.
Coffee Flow #11 breaks down what is moving the market, what to watch next and where sourcing opportunities may be emerging.
Read the full report. Link in bio.