05/11/2020
When COVID vaccines are loaded onto cargo planes, other cargo will be put aside.
Just in time for Halloween, here is a scenario to chill the blood of executives tasked with moving time-sensitive cargoes via air freight.
The vaccines are coming! Sometime in the next several months, hundreds of millions of doses of COVID-19 vaccinations are going to be shipped globally on cargo flights, causing a massive bottleneck for other air shipments. With over 80 percent of the belly cargo capacity on passenger flights unavailable due to the drastic cuts in air travel by people, the impact on air freight availability could be heavy.
The global distribution of a COVID-19 vaccine could take up to 18 months, with sustained pressure on a capacity-constrained air cargo supply chain requiring unprecedented industry collaboration, according to Glyn Hughes, head of cargo at the International Air Transport Association (IATA).
“It is inconceivable for me to think that the vaccine distribution is going to be made over a short time frame,” Hughes told the Journal of Commerce. “It will have to be progressively rolled out over a significant period, with critical early planning bringing in forwarders, trucking companies, pharmaceutical suppliers, and governments.”
Neel Jones Shah, global head of airfreight at freight forwarder Flexport, described the vaccine introduction as “the biggest product launch in the history of mankind.” He pointed out to AirCargo News that even when Apple launches a new product, airfreight capacity is affected.
The scale of the distribution effort Hughes outlined is sobering to say the least. “This is going to touch the entire planet, so you could be looking at more than 200 countries or territories with a vaccine that's not only going to need to be transported in a very precise temperature-controlled environment, but also in a very precise security-controlled environment, because a vaccine is a valuable commodity,” he said. General cargo shippers using airfreight when a Covid-19 vaccine is launched are likely to face capacity shortages, delays and price hikes.
Having a coronavirus vaccine that is effective and getting into the hands and bloodstreams of the world’s population is undoubtedly a good thing, so no one is wanting to get in the way, but the distribution will not come without disruption to the supply chains of companies that rely on air freight.